The price of urea might fluctuate huge

After entering the fourth quarter, the supply may focus on the start-up of gas head enterprises, but it is reported that the start-up level of gas head enterprises may be higher than expected based on the guaranteed supply of chemical fertilizer; In terms of export, the main support may be the source of goods for customs declaration in the early stage. The source of new export goods may be limited, and the export volume in the fourth quarter may be between 1-1.2 million tons; Under the condition of coal supply and price stability, the cost level may gradually callback to the level of about 2000 yuan / ton; Therefore, on the whole, the domestic urea market price may gradually callback to the rational level due to abundant supply and reduced cost, and the mainstream market price may be between 2300-2600 yuan / ton